AGNC Investment (AGNC) Looks Undervalued On Paper, Is The Income Story Priced Fairly?

Simply Wall St.

Aug 27

AGNC Investment (AGNC) drew fresh attention after recent share price moves, with the stock closing at $10.81. Investors are weighing its mortgage focused REIT model and recent total return figures in ...

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Investors are weighing its mortgage focused REIT model and recent total return figures in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-looks-undervalued-on-paper-is-the-incom\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AGNC Investment (AGNC) Looks Undervalued On Paper, Is The Income Story Priced Fairly?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAGNC Investment (AGNC) Looks Undervalued On Paper, Is The Income Story Priced Fairly?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-08-27 17:28 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-looks-undervalued-on-paper-is-the-incom><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AGNC Investment (AGNC) drew fresh attention after recent share price moves, with the stock closing at $10.81. Investors are weighing its mortgage focused REIT model and recent total return figures in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-looks-undervalued-on-paper-is-the-incom\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4588","symbol_name":"碎股","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-looks-undervalued-on-paper-is-the-incom","article_id":"2662703150","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/9551733-choice2-main-header/1585186799817"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/diversified-financials/nasdaq-agnc/agnc-investment/news/agnc-investment-agnc-looks-undervalued-on-paper-is-the-incom","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2662703150","pubTimestamp":1787822927,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"AGNC Investment (AGNC) drew fresh attention after recent share price moves, with the stock closing at $10.81. Investors are weighing its mortgage focused REIT model and recent total return figures in relation to ongoing housing market conditions.\nOver the past year, AGNC Investment’s share price has moved more modestly than its income focused profile might suggest. There has been a small decline year to date, compared with a 30 day share price return of 1.6% and a 90 day share price return of...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4588":"碎股","MORT":"VanEck Mortgage REIT Income ETF","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","DVDN":"KINGSBARN DIVIDEND OPPORTUNITY ETF","SPHQ":"Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","CRDT":"Simplify Opportunistic Income ETF","REM":"房地产按揭贷款ETF-iShares","BK4110":"抵押房地产投资信托","AGNC":"美国资本代理公司"},"translate_title":"AGNC Investment (AGNC) 从纸面上看被低估，盈利故事定价是否公平？","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"AGNC":1.5,"MORT":0.6,"CRDT":0.6,"SPHQ":0.66,"REM":0.6,"DCF":1,"DVDN":0.6},"content_text":"AGNC Investment (AGNC) drew fresh attention after recent share price moves, with the stock closing at $10.81. Investors are weighing its mortgage focused REIT model and recent total return figures in relation to ongoing housing market conditions. Over the past year, AGNC Investment’s share price has moved more modestly than its income focused profile might suggest. There has been a small decline year to date, compared with a 30 day share price return of 1.6% and a 90 day share price return of 2.46%, which hints at steadier momentum building recently. In contrast, the 1 year total shareholder return of 26.46% and 3 year total shareholder return of 68.57% indicate that dividends and reinvested distributions have been a major part of the story for longer term holders. Compare AGNC Investment’s income focused profile with other high yielding plays by scanning our hand picked 11 dividend fortresses that aim to balance payout strength with resilience. AGNC Investment offers income exposure to agency backed mortgages, yet the recent share price and total return profile leave a key issue unresolved. Are investors paying a fair price for that income stream today, or a premium? AdvertisementPrice-to-Earnings of 6.1x: Is it justified? On the numbers available, AGNC Investment screens as inexpensive relative to its earnings. The stock closed at $10.81 and is described as trading at good value compared to peers and the broader US Mortgage REITs industry, while also sitting 41.9% below an internal fair value estimate based on future cash flows. The preferred valuation metric here is the P/E ratio. AGNC Investment is reported on a P/E of 6.1x, which compares to a US Mortgage REITs industry average of 8.9x and a peer group average of 14.4x. A lower P/E can indicate the market is placing a lower price on each dollar of current earnings than it does for comparable companies. For a mortgage focused REIT with earnings growth described as very large over the past year and 29.9% per year over five years, this gap is striking. It suggests investors are attaching a more cautious multiple to AGNC Investment’s current earnings stream compared with both its industry and similar sized peers. The fair P/E ratio is estimated at 10.8x, which is materially higher than the current 6.1x level and points to a valuation level the market could move towards if sentiment and assumptions around the earnings base align with that fair ratio framework. To go deeper into how this fair ratio is derived and what it implies for AGNC Investment over time, review the Explore the SWS fair ratio for AGNC Investment. Result: Price-to-Earnings of 6.1x (UNDERVALUED) However, investors still need to watch for pressure from declining revenue and net income growth, as well as any shift in housing or interest rate conditions that could affect AGNC Investment’s mortgage portfolio. Find out about the key risks to this AGNC Investment narrative. Another View on AGNC Investment’s Value The P/E comparison paints AGNC Investment as inexpensive, yet a different lens tells a slightly richer story. The stock is also described as trading 41.9% below an internal fair value estimate based on future cash flows, which points to a sizeable implied valuation gap that investors need to interpret for themselves. Our DCF model takes those future cash flows and discounts them back into today’s dollars. It also suggests AGNC at $10.81 is below an estimated future cash flow value of $18.61, which again points to an undervalued result. The question is whether you place more weight on the earnings-based view or on the cash flow model for a mortgage REIT like this. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. AGNC Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out AGNC Investment for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 51 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps Given this mix of potential upside and areas of concern around AGNC Investment, it makes sense to look at the details yourself and move quickly while the current picture is still fresh. To see both sides in one place and shape your own view, start with the 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs. Looking for more investment ideas beyond AGNC Investment? If you stop with AGNC Investment, you risk missing other opportunities. Use the Simply Wall Street Screener now to quickly surface ideas that match your style.  Pinpoint potential value opportunities by scanning a curated 51 high quality undervalued stocks that combine quality fundamentals with appealing pricing signals. Strengthen your portfolio’s foundation by reviewing a focused list of solid balance sheet and fundamentals (51 results) that can help support more resilient returns through different conditions. Get ahead of the crowd by checking a targeted 20 high quality undiscovered gems that highlight lesser known stocks with strong underlying business profiles.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}