‘Bond market tantrum risks’: Gilt traders brace for Labour leftward pivot as Starmer future uncertain

cityam

Apr 17

Keir Starmer could be forced to wave goodbye to life in Downing Street sooner than he might like Bond traders are bracing for the prospect of a surge in gilt yields as uncertainty over the future of ...

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uncertain","media":"cityam","content":"<div>\n<p>Keir Starmer could be forced to wave goodbye to life in Downing Street sooner than he might like Bond traders are bracing for the prospect of a surge in gilt yields as uncertainty over the future of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cityam.com/bond-market-tantrum-risks-gilt-traders-brace-for-labour-leftward-pivot-as-starmer-future-uncertain/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"cityam_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>‘Bond market tantrum risks’: Gilt traders brace for Labour leftward pivot as Starmer future uncertain</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n‘Bond market tantrum risks’: Gilt traders brace for Labour leftward pivot as Starmer future uncertain\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-17 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.cityam.com/bond-market-tantrum-risks-gilt-traders-brace-for-labour-leftward-pivot-as-starmer-future-uncertain/><strong>cityam</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Keir Starmer could be forced to wave goodbye to life in Downing Street sooner than he might like Bond traders are bracing for the prospect of a surge in gilt yields as uncertainty over the future of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.cityam.com/bond-market-tantrum-risks-gilt-traders-brace-for-labour-leftward-pivot-as-starmer-future-uncertain/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DMO","symbol_name":"Western Asset Mortgage Defined Opportunity Fund 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left-wing successor.A Starmer defenestration could be just weeks away amid renewed scrutiny over the botched appointment of Peter Mandelson as Washington ambassador and a high chance Labour will haemorrhage hundreds of councillors at May’s local elections as the party languishes in the polls.Any replacement for Starmer is widely viewed as likely to come from the left of the party, triggering rising bond yields as investors reel from a government spending splurge.In an interview with City AM, Mike Bell, head of market strategy at RBC BlueBay Asset Management, said: “If you look at the bookies at the moment, they’ve got [Angela] Rayner as the favourite – that’s clearly a shift to the left relative to a kind of more center left govern","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"cityam.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DMO":"Western Asset Mortgage Defined Opportunity Fund 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polls.Any replacement for Starmer is widely viewed as likely to come from the left of the party, triggering rising bond yields as investors reel from a government spending splurge.In an interview with City AM, Mike Bell, head of market strategy at RBC BlueBay Asset Management, said: “If you look at the bookies at the moment, they’ve got [Angela] Rayner as the favourite – that’s clearly a shift to the left relative to a kind of more center left government at the moment.\n\n“It’s possible that under a more left leaning government, you get a combination of tax increases as well as more spending.\n\n\n\n\n\n\nNews Updates\nStay ahead with our three daily briefings delivering all the key market moves, top business and political stories, and incisive analysis straight to your inbox.\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n“I think markets will assume that you’ll have some fiscal loosening in that position. And with that you could potentially see gilt yields rise.”\nPlay Video\nBond yields highest in the G7UK government bond yields are already the highest in the G7, thanks to a combination of higher inflation, higher central bank interest rates and the UK’s sizable exposure to the economic fallout from the war in Iran.Earlier this week the government’s Debt Management Office (DMO) sold 10-year bonds at the highest yield since the global financial crisis.\n\nBut a more radical left-wing government could add an additional risk premium to UK bonds, pushing yields up further still.“If the government does come out with a material fiscal package by breaking its fiscal rules, then that would obviously mitigate some of the growth shock,” said Cosimo Codacci-Pisanelli, a managing director in EMEA interest rate product sales at Goldman Sachs.“And I think we would be in a very bearish rates environment again and flip back to talking about fiscal sustainability and the possible risks of a bond market tantrum of some kind.”","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"-1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}