Is Avis Budget Group (CAR) Still Attractive After Its Recent 90% One-Year Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St.

Apr 01

Wondering if Avis Budget Group at around US$145.85 is still offering value after its recent run, or if you might be looking at a stock that has already priced in the good news? The share price sits at...

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The share price sits at...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nasdaq-car/avis-budget-group/news/is-avis-budget-group-car-still-attractive-after-its-recent-9\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Avis Budget Group (CAR) Still Attractive After Its Recent 90% One-Year Share Price Surge</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Avis Budget Group (CAR) Still Attractive After Its Recent 90% One-Year Share Price Surge\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-04-01 15:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nasdaq-car/avis-budget-group/news/is-avis-budget-group-car-still-attractive-after-its-recent-9><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Wondering if Avis Budget Group at around US$145.85 is still offering value after its recent run, or if you might be looking at a stock that has already priced in the good news? The share price sits at...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nasdaq-car/avis-budget-group/news/is-avis-budget-group-car-still-attractive-after-its-recent-9\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4022","symbol_name":"陆运","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nasdaq-car/avis-budget-group/news/is-avis-budget-group-car-still-attractive-after-its-recent-9","article_id":"2624598421","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/3242000-choice2-main-header/1585186741316"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/transportation/nasdaq-car/avis-budget-group/news/is-avis-budget-group-car-still-attractive-after-its-recent-9","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2624598421","pubTimestamp":1775028875,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Wondering if Avis Budget Group at around US$145.85 is still offering value after its recent run, or if you might be looking at a stock that has already priced in the good news?\nThe share price sits at US$145.85, with returns of 18.0% over the last 7 days, 52.4% over the last 30 days, 13.7% year to date, 90.0% over 1 year and 103.7% over 5 years, while the 3 year return is a 13.7% decline.\nRecent price strength has arrived alongside ongoing interest in travel and mobility services, putting...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4022":"陆运","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4230":"旅客陆运","BK7002":"互动媒体与服务","BK7503":"科技股","CAR":"安飞士","CAR.AU":"CAR GROUP LTD"},"translate_title":"Avis Budget Group(CAR)在最近一年内股价飙升90%后仍然具有吸引力吗","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"CAR":1.5,"DCF":1,"CAR.AU":1.5},"content_text":"Wondering if Avis Budget Group at around US$145.85 is still offering value after its recent run, or if you might be looking at a stock that has already priced in the good news? The share price sits at US$145.85, with returns of 18.0% over the last 7 days, 52.4% over the last 30 days, 13.7% year to date, 90.0% over 1 year and 103.7% over 5 years, while the 3 year return is a 13.7% decline. Recent price strength has arrived alongside ongoing interest in travel and mobility services, putting car rental providers like Avis Budget Group back on many investors' radar. Broader sector attention and changing expectations around demand can both feed into how the market is currently pricing the stock. Avis Budget Group currently has a valuation score of 3 out of 6, which suggests some metrics point to undervaluation while others are more mixed. The sections that follow will compare different valuation methods before finishing with a way to think about value that goes beyond the usual ratios and models.  Avis Budget Group delivered 90.0% returns over the last year. See how this stacks up to the rest of the Transportation industry. AdvertisementApproach 1: Avis Budget Group Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a stock might be worth today by projecting future cash flows and discounting them back to a present value using a required return. For Avis Budget Group, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. The latest twelve month free cash flow is a loss of about $1.5b, so the valuation relies heavily on future projections rather than recent cash generation. The projections used here show free cash flow moving to $145 million in 2027, and out to around $724 million by 2035, with intermediate annual figures extrapolated by Simply Wall St from limited analyst inputs. After discounting all these projected cash flows back to today, the DCF model indicates an intrinsic value of about $124.49 per share. With the current share price at roughly $145.85, this represents a level about 17.2% above the DCF estimate, which suggests a market price that is higher than this cash flow based valuation. Result: OVERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Avis Budget Group may be overvalued by 17.2%. Discover 58 high quality undervalued stocks or create your own screener to find better value opportunities. CAR Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Avis Budget Group. Approach 2: Avis Budget Group Price vs Sales For companies where earnings can be volatile, the P/S ratio is often a useful cross check because it focuses on revenue, which tends to be more stable than profits. Investors usually expect higher P/S ratios when they see stronger growth potential and lower perceived risk, and lower P/S ratios when growth expectations are more muted or risks are higher. Avis Budget Group currently trades on a P/S ratio of 0.44x. This sits below the Transportation industry average P/S of 1.15x and also below the peer group average of 1.51x. On the surface, that points to a discount relative to both the broader industry and closer comparables. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio framework goes a step further by estimating what P/S ratio might make sense given factors such as the company’s earnings growth profile, margins, industry, market cap and risk characteristics. For Avis Budget Group, the Fair Ratio is 0.84x, which aims to tailor the valuation more precisely than a simple industry or peer comparison. With the actual P/S of 0.44x sitting below this Fair Ratio, the shares screen as undervalued on this metric. Result: UNDERVALUED NasdaqGS:CAR P/S Ratio as at Apr 2026 P/S ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 20 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Avis Budget Group Narrative Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives step in as a simple way for you to link your view of Avis Budget Group's future revenue, earnings and margins to a financial forecast, a fair value, and then a clear comparison with the current price. All of this takes place inside the Simply Wall St Community page, where Narratives are updated as new news or earnings arrive. This means one investor might back a more cautious story that points to a Fair Value of about US$85, while another leans toward a more optimistic story closer to US$128. Each can see how their chosen Narrative lines up against today's share price to help decide whether the stock looks expensive or cheap to them. Do you think there's more to the story for Avis Budget Group? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NasdaqGS:CAR 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}