Movement Alert|Coherent Rises 3.66% in Regular Trading, US Proposed Ban on Chinese Optical Modules Continues to Boost Domestic Substitution Logic

Market Focus
Aug 05

On August 5, Coherent rose 3.66% in regular trading, trading at $341.71/share, with turnover of $325 million. The stock extended its strong momentum as the ripple effects of a proposed US ban on Chinese optical transceiver modules continued to fuel domestic substitution expectations, compounded by robust earnings growth forecasts ahead of its August 12 report.

On the news front, the US Federal Communications Commission is drafting measures to ban imports of new Chinese optical transceiver modules to protect critical AI data center infrastructure, with officials aiming to implement the ban within the year. This policy catalyst drove Coherent up nearly 12% in the prior session and continues to underpin the stock. As a core supplier in the AI infrastructure optical interconnect segment, Coherent's data center and communications business contributed over 70% of revenue last quarter.

Simultaneously, consensus estimates for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter project revenue of approximately $19.86 billion, up 31.65% year-over-year, with adjusted EPS of approximately $1.62, up 76.71% year-over-year. The dual catalysts of policy tailwinds and strong earnings expectations are sustaining upward price momentum across the optical communications sector.

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