Option Focus | Alphabet’s $47 Million Bull Put Spread Signals Recovery Hopes, but a Nearly Matching $47 Million Double-Long Put Bet Warns of Deep Downside Fear

Option Witch
Jul 31

Alphabet closed at $333.68, down 0.62 percent.

A massive $47.45 million bull put spread dominated the tape, signaling a calculated bet on recovery and stability, while a nearly identical $47.11 million double-long put combination revealed a starkly opposing fear of deep downside. The session’s unusual options activity painted a picture of deep division, with bullish income strategies colliding against aggressive bearish volatility bets in almost equal measure.

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Options Indicators

GOOG’s implied volatility is 33.13%, and with an IV percentile of 32.67%, current volatility sits in the lower end of the neutral range rather than at an extreme. Combined with an IV/HV ratio of 0.84, options appear slightly inexpensive relative to recent realized volatility, suggesting premium levels are not especially stretched at the moment. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.64.

Large Trades

A bullish bull put spread with a total traded amount of $47.45 million stood out as the largest large trade, structured through the sale of 2,040 Jan. 15, 2027 $480 puts and the purchase of 1,840 Sept. 18, 2026 $430 puts. With the short put leg bringing in $29.78 million and the long put leg costing $17.66 million, the strategy carried a net premium received of $12.12 million, making it a net-credit position. Both strikes were in the money versus the $333.68 reference stock price, so this appears to be a high-premium bullish income-and-risk-defined structure aimed at benefiting from stability or an eventual recovery in GOOG, while using the lower-strike long put to help cap downside exposure.

A same-direction double-long put combination worth $47.11 million was the second major trade, built by buying 2,018 Jan. 15, 2027 $480 puts and 1,840 Sept. 18, 2026 $430 puts. This structure involved only premium outflows, with $29.45 million paid for the higher-strike put leg and $17.65 million paid for the lower-strike put leg, for a net premium paid of $47.11 million. Since both puts were already in the money relative to the $333.68 stock reference, the trade reflects a highly aggressive directional volatility bet that seeks substantial downside participation, likely expressing a view that GOOG could see a pronounced bearish move and/or elevated turbulence across these forward expiries.

Overall, the large-trade flow in GOOG leaned slightly bullish, but conviction was notably mixed rather than one-sided. The bullish tilt came from the marginally larger premium tied to the bull put spread, which suggests some traders were willing to collect rich option premium and position for resilience or stabilization in the shares. At the same time, the nearly matching size of the double-long put position shows that there was also meaningful appetite for downside exposure and large-move protection. Taken together, the tape points to a cautiously bullish near-balance, where supportive positioning exists, but it is being offset by substantial demand for bearish or volatility-driven protection.

Strategy Reference

For a neutral-to-slightly-bullish posture with a low assignment probability, sellers could consider the deep out-of-the-money $280 put in the front-month cycle, while a put credit spread closer to the money offers a defined-risk alternative without the intensive margin requirement of a naked short put.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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