Lombard Odier Strategist Recommends Overweight Positions in Emerging Market Credit and Gold

Deep News
Mar 30

Lombard Odier advises investors to maintain overweight positions in emerging market credit and gold, citing the potential for a gradual easing of tensions in the Middle East.

"A further sharp escalation of conflict with Iran—which is difficult to consider a base case scenario given Trump's political incentive to avoid higher fuel prices for US voters—could force investors to reassess various risk assets, including those in emerging markets," said Singapore-based strategist Homin Lee in an interview.

However, investors should remain aware that a backlash from US voters ahead of the midterm elections could pose a risk of a significant new "TACO" rally, which should not be overlooked.

"We have reduced our overweight position in emerging market equities to hedge against the risk of an extremely adverse scenario."

Concerns over "prolonged disruptions" in energy markets would likely trigger a broad sell-off initially, after which investors might begin to consider assets that could benefit from a recession and investments in energy diversification, such as credit assets in Latin America.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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