Historic IPO Looming: AI Giant Could Set New Record

Deep News
Aug 19

Global AI leader Anthropic is reportedly targeting an October listing this year, with investors already assigning the company a staggering $2 trillion valuation ahead of its public debut. This figure surpasses the $1.77 trillion valuation Elon Musk's SpaceX achieved before its own IPO, potentially setting a new record for the largest initial public offering in history.

Behind this powerhouse are siblings Dario Amodei and Daniela Amodei, who departed OpenAI in 2021 to found Anthropic, quickly establishing themselves as OpenAI's most formidable rival. Five years later, Anthropic's valuation has eclipsed that of its former employer. It's the best of times: in just five years, a trillion-dollar entity has emerged from nothing. But it's also the worst of times, as the pace of wealth creation reaches unprecedented levels.

Five Years to Build the World's Most Valuable AI Company

Anthropic's valuation trajectory has been nothing short of meteoric. In early 2023, the company was valued at roughly $4.1 billion; by 2024, that figure had climbed to approximately $18.5 billion. The acceleration intensified in 2025—a $3.5 billion funding round in March pushed the valuation to $61.5 billion, followed by a September raise that brought it to $183 billion.

The true surge occurred this year. In February, Anthropic completed a $30 billion funding round, lifting its valuation to $380 billion. Just three months later, a $65 billion raise catapulted the post-money valuation to $965 billion, officially surpassing OpenAI to become the world's most valuable AI unicorn. This Series H round is widely viewed as the final private raise before going public.

Reports indicate Anthropic confidentially submitted IPO documents to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in June. According to Business Insider, strong IPO expectations have fueled demand in secondary markets, where Anthropic's valuation has already been pushed to $1.5 trillion—yet few existing shareholders are willing to sell their stakes.

The historic moment appears imminent: Anthropic could officially list as early as October, with some investors projecting a valuation of $2 trillion or higher. Just two months ago, SpaceX completed its IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation, meaning Anthropic could surpass that figure and shatter the global record for the largest IPO ever. Interestingly, Musk and Amodei had previously clashed, with Musk once condemning Anthropic as "anti-human." However, Musk recently admitted his earlier judgment was "clearly wrong," now calling Anthropic "clearly the leader in the AI field."

What Justifies a $2 Trillion Valuation?

Observers wonder how a five-year-old startup can command such astronomical worth. The answer lies in revenue. Anthropic's annualized revenue stood at $1 billion in January 2025, surged to $9 billion by year-end, reached $14 billion in February 2026, $30 billion in April, and broke through $47 billion in May—a 47-fold increase in under 18 months. OpenAI's revenue remained 50% higher than Anthropic's at the end of 2025, but has since been overtaken.

The divergence stems from strategic positioning. OpenAI aims to become the gateway to the AI era, focusing on consumer markets, while Anthropic has bet on coding, agents, and enterprise workflows, with corporate clients contributing the vast majority of its revenue. Coding represents the most commercially certain AI application: companies willingly pay premiums for higher-quality code generation and lower security risks. Anthropic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet and Claude Code programming assistant have become phenomenon-level products, with Claude Code alone achieving an annualized revenue run rate exceeding $2.5 billion and becoming a mainstream tool among developers.

Data shows that by Q2 2026, Anthropic captured 32% of the enterprise LLM API market, overtaking OpenAI's 25% to claim the top spot. Amazon, Google, JPMorgan, and Salesforce count among its core clients. This stable cash flow is what attracts investors most. Some aggressive projections even suggest that if Anthropic maintains 800% annual revenue growth, a conservative 30x revenue multiple would imply a market cap approaching $3 trillion.

This represents an extraordinary wealth event. In May, all seven of Anthropic's co-founders entered global billionaire rankings with stakes of less than 1% each. Since its founding in 2021, Anthropic has attracted the world's premier tech capital—Google, Amazon, Nvidia, Salesforce, Sequoia Capital, and dozens of other institutions have piled in, each betting on securing a ticket to an AI-era super-company and the unimaginable returns that may follow.

The Age of Trillion-Dollar Companies

Globally, the valuation ceiling for AI companies is being reset repeatedly. In response to Anthropic's rise, OpenAI is rapidly advancing its own IPO process with a target valuation exceeding $1 trillion. OpenAI's fundraising pace has been staggering: a $110 billion round announced in February at a $730 billion pre-money valuation, followed just a month later by a $122 billion private placement at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest single funding round in Silicon Valley history. OpenAI has also journeyed from tens of billions to trillion-level valuations in roughly five years.

The AI era is compressing the timeline for corporate valuation growth beyond imagination. Silicon Valley recently welcomed another trillion-dollar company: Databricks announced a new strategic funding round at a $188 billion valuation. Founded in 2013, Databricks has raised capital continuously since inception, with top-tier institutions joining at every stage. By August 2025, its Series K round pushed the valuation past $100 billion; just one year later, it had doubled again. Analysts rank Databricks alongside OpenAI and Anthropic as one of the most anticipated IPO candidates. "We are ready for listing," management stated, adding that the IPO will launch when timing is right.

Such scenarios were previously unimaginable. In traditional tech sectors, companies endured long commercialization cycles—revenue, profits, and market share had to be proven step by step before valuations would rise. AI is rewriting that playbook, enabling startups to leap from founding to super-company status in record time. Yet beneath the surface, currents are stirring.

Recently, prominent tech critic Ed Zitron, a long-time AI bear, made a provocative claim: the true AI bubble is essentially an "OpenAI bubble." In his view, since ChatGPT's launch in late 2022, OpenAI has become the "credit anchor" of the generative AI era—investors believe AI will transform the world, massive data centers are worth building, GPU demand will grow indefinitely, and mega-model companies will eventually turn profitable. If that assumption collapses, the shockwaves could extend far beyond any single unicorn.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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