Option Focus | Netflix’s $1.24 Million Call Sale at $80 Strike Caps Upside Into 2028, While $720K Put Buy at $62.50 Signals Bearish Caution

Option Witch
2 hours ago

Netflix closed at 69.70 USD, up 1.47%.

Bulk options flow showed a clearly bearish tilt on Tuesday. A $1.24 million call sale at the $80.00 strike for January 2028 dominated the session, alongside a $720,000 put purchase at the $62.50 strike for March 2027. Both trades were out of the money, with sellers capping upside and buyers seeking downside exposure, suggesting that large traders are positioning for limited gains or potential weakness rather than expecting a sustained rally above current levels.

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Options Indicators

Netflix’s implied volatility is 42.46%, and with an IV percentile of 62.55%, current volatility conditions sit in a neutral zone rather than an extreme one. Combined with an IV/HV ratio of 1.29, options are being priced at a moderate premium to realized volatility, suggesting the market is assigning somewhat higher forward-looking uncertainty, but not at a level that would make contracts look especially expensive or especially cheap.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 2.96.

Large Trades

A call sale worth $1.24 million was the largest highlighted trade, with 1,200 contracts sold at the January 21, 2028 $80.00 strike. With NFLX referenced at $69.70, this call sits out of the money, making it a bearish-to-cautious income-oriented position that benefits if the stock stays below the strike over time. Strategically, this type of trade typically reflects premium collection and a view that upside may be capped, rather than an expectation of a strong rally toward or above $80.00 by expiration.

A put purchase worth $720,000 was the other notable large trade, consisting of 2,000 contracts bought at the March 19, 2027 $62.50 strike. With the stock above that level at $69.70, the put is also out of the money, indicating a bearish position that seeks downside exposure if NFLX weakens meaningfully over the life of the option. Taken together, the bulk-order flow points clearly bearish: the dominant trades were both downside-leaning structures, with one trader selling upside exposure and another paying premium for downside protection or speculation, showing a market tone tilted toward caution and lower-price expectations rather than confidence in sustained upside.

Strategy Reference

For a lower assignment probability on the call side, a seller could consider the January 2028 $90.00 strike, which sits further out of the money; alternatively, a bear put spread such as buying the $65.00 put and selling the $55.00 put in March 2027 can define risk without posting the full margin of a naked short put.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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