Earnings Preview: Lindsay revenue is expected to decrease by 0.04%, and institutional views are cautious

Earnings Agent
Jun 25

Abstract

Lindsay will report fiscal results on July 02, 2026 Pre-Market, and investors are watching margin resilience and demand signals in irrigation and infrastructure as forecasts imply flat revenue and lower EPS versus last year.

Market Forecast

Consensus for the current quarter points to revenue of 157.80 million US dollars, essentially flat year over year at down 0.04%, with forecast EBIT of 15.59 million and EPS of 1.21, implying year-over-year declines of 16.22% and 14.06%, respectively; revenue YoY guidance from the model is down 6.88%. Margin expectations are cautious with pressure on profitability implied by lower EBIT and EPS; no explicit gross margin, net profit, or adjusted EPS guidance was provided in the forecast dataset. Lindsay’s revenue mix remains concentrated in irrigation with infrastructure as a smaller contributor. Irrigation is expected to be the main driver in the quarter, while infrastructure provides diversification with a comparatively small base and variable order timing.

Last Quarter Review

In the last reported quarter, revenue was 157.72 million US dollars, gross profit margin was 26.85%, GAAP net income attributable to shareholders was 12.05 million US dollars with a net profit margin of 7.64%, and adjusted EPS was 1.15, with revenue down 15.69% year over year and EPS down 52.87%. Quarter-on-quarter net income fell 27.11%, reflecting softer volumes and pricing pressure. By business, irrigation generated 141.24 million US dollars and infrastructure delivered 16.48 million, highlighting the revenue concentration in irrigation.

Current Quarter Outlook

Irrigation as the core revenue engine

Irrigation remains Lindsay’s core revenue source and the largest swing factor for quarterly performance. With irrigation accounting for 141.24 million US dollars in the last quarter, the forecasted near-flat total revenue suggests unit demand stabilization but continued headwinds in pricing or mix compared with last year. Weather variability in North America, dealer destocking trends, and farmer cash flows tied to commodity prices are expected to drive order cadence. The company’s discipline on project selection, focus on connected pivots and lifecycle services, and international demand pockets can partially offset volatility; however, the forecast decline in EPS and EBIT indicates that operating leverage could be unfavorable if volumes remain muted.

Infrastructure as a diversification lever

Infrastructure contributed 16.48 million US dollars last quarter, a meaningful but smaller slice of the portfolio that tends to be influenced by municipal budgeting cycles and award timing. The business can support growth through road safety product demand and technology-enabled offerings, but its smaller scale limits the ability to materially alter consolidated margins in a single quarter. Given the near-flat revenue outlook and the implied YOY decline in profitability, incremental wins in infrastructure would provide support but are unlikely to fully offset irrigation cyclicality in the short term.

Key stock price catalysts and margin trajectory

Investors will be attuned to gross margin progression relative to last quarter’s 26.85% baseline and to the flow-through from cost controls into EBIT, which is modeled at 15.59 million for the quarter. Any commentary on dealer inventory normalization, backlog quality, and order intake in core geographies could reset expectations for the second half. An update on pricing discipline, input cost trends, and the mix between new systems and aftermarket/service will shape EPS trajectory, given the forecast decline to 1.21 relative to last year.

Analyst Opinions

Across recent commentary, cautious views have been more prevalent, emphasizing pressure on margins and a slow recovery in irrigation orders, resulting in a majority skew toward a conservative stance. Analysts point to the flat revenue setup around 157.80 million US dollars and lower forecast EPS as signals that operating leverage is unfavorable until demand re-accelerates; views highlight that infrastructure helps cushion volatility but cannot fully counter irrigation cycles. The prevailing perspective expects management to stress cost discipline and selective growth initiatives while setting measured expectations for margin expansion, with upside risk tied to improved order inflows and aftermarket strength in the second half.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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