Option Focus | Rocket Lab Sees $2.88 Million Bet on Deep OTM 2028 $175 Calls, Signaling High-Conviction Bullish Speculation

Option Witch
Jul 16

Rocket Lab USA, Inc. closed at $76.20, down 3.31%.

Despite the day's decline, a significant bullish options bet emerged, with a large purchase of deep out-of-the-money calls expiring in 2028, signaling high-conviction speculation on the stock's long-term potential.

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Options Indicators

RKLB’s implied volatility is 99.28%, and with an IV percentile of 71.71%, current option volatility sits in the elevated zone, indicating that contracts are priced expensively relative to their own recent history. The IV/HV ratio of 1.05 suggests implied volatility is only modestly above realized volatility, so while premiums are rich on a percentile basis, they are not drastically detached from the stock’s actual movement profile. In this setup, option buyers are paying up for volatility, while premium-selling or defined-risk spread structures may offer a more efficient way to express a view. The Call/Put volume ratio is 2.44.

Large Trades

A CALL purchase worth $2.88 million was the standout large trade, consisting of 1,800 contracts of the January 21, 2028 $175.00 call bought for $16.00. With RKLB referenced at $76.20, this strike is deeply out-of-the-money, making it a high-conviction bullish position that is targeting substantial upside over a long-dated horizon. The use of a far-out strike and long time to expiration suggests the buyer is seeking leveraged exposure to a major upside move rather than near-term hedging, reflecting a directional bet on significant appreciation in the stock over time.

Overall sentiment is clearly bullish, with total bullish large-trade flow at $2.88 million against $0.00 million bearish, leaving a net bullish difference of $2.88 million. The directional read is firmly positive, as the only notable large trade was a sizable long-dated call purchase, and its deeply out-of-the-money structure points to an investor willing to pay premium for upside optionality rather than defend an existing position. This pattern indicates speculative optimism and a willingness to position for a potentially outsized longer-term rally in RKLB.

Strategy Reference

Given the elevated IV percentile, a premium seller could consider writing the January 2028 $25 put for a low probability of assignment, while a trader preferring defined-risk exposure might structure a bullish call spread, such as buying the January 2028 $80 call and selling the $120 call, to reduce capital outlay.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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