Option Focus | Coinbase Draws $1.77 Million Bet on $210 Calls Expiring in 2026, Signaling Strong Institutional Bullish Conviction

Option Witch
51 mins ago

Coinbase Global, Inc. closed at $181.78, down 2.87%.

Despite the daily pullback, options activity revealed a distinctly bullish institutional tone, led by a $1.77 million purchase of long-dated out-of-the-money calls. The dominant large trade was a 1,200-contract buy on the November 20, 2026 $210.00 call, a strike requiring meaningful upside from current levels. This concentration of premium into a far-dated OTM call suggests conviction in a sustained medium- to long-term rally rather than a short-term hedge, while overall call/put volume of 1.64 reinforces the constructive sentiment.

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Options Indicators

COIN’s implied volatility is 68.66%, while its IV percentile stands at 36.25%, which places current volatility in a broadly neutral historical range rather than an especially cheap or expensive extreme. With an IV/HV ratio of 0.90, implied volatility is also running slightly below realized volatility, suggesting option pricing is not notably stretched and appears relatively fair at current levels.

The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.64.

Large Trades

A call purchase worth $1.77 million was the standout large trade, with 1,200 contracts bought on the November 20, 2026 $210.00 call. With COIN referenced at $181.78, this strike sits out of the money, making it a higher-conviction bullish directional bet that requires further upside in the stock over a longer time horizon. The trade signals that the buyer is willing to pay meaningful premium for leveraged upside exposure, suggesting expectations for a sizable advance rather than a short-term hedge.

Overall, the large-trade flow points clearly bullish. The dominant activity was a sizable out-of-the-money long-dated call buy, while the only bearish print was negligible by comparison, indicating that institutional-sized positioning is concentrated on upside participation. Taken together, the bulk-order profile suggests investors are expressing confidence in COIN’s medium- to long-term upside potential and are using options to position for a meaningful rally.

Strategy Reference

For traders seeking income without matching the aggressive long-call view, selling a put spread such as the January 2027 $120/$110 put spread could capture premium while maintaining a low assignment probability well below the current price; alternatively, a call diagonal using a short near-term $200 call against the long November 2026 $210 call can help offset the elevated premium cost of the institutional position.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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