On October 2, Fair Isaac declined 5.43% in pre-market trading, trading at approximately 622.5 USD/share, with turnover of approximately $413,000. The stock had staged a 7%-plus intraday rebound in the prior session before surrendering gains, extending the persistent weakness since early September.
The decline reflects continued fallout from the Federal Housing Finance Agency's directive reshaping the mortgage credit scoring landscape. FHFA Director Bill Pulte announced VantageScore would be integrated into the existing FICO classic mortgage pricing grid, eliminating the dual-grid structure in favor of a single unified framework. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have since adopted VantageScore alongside FICO across all securitized products, effectively ending FICO's longstanding monopoly in mortgage credit scoring. Pulte also publicly criticized FICO for raising per-person credit score acquisition costs by 1,800% since 2020, demanding competitive pricing.
Since the initial announcement in early September, the stock has fallen sharply from above $980 levels. Multiple investment banks have lowered price targets — BMO to $1,150, Goldman Sachs to $1,322, Wells Fargo to $1,350 — though most maintain positive ratings. Raymond James analysts noted that most lenders are using both scores simultaneously rather than replacing FICO, suggesting competitive pressure may be overstated.
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