Top 3 Underperforming STI REITs in Q1 2026: A Buying Opportunity?

Trading Random
Apr 07

In the first quarter of 2026, not all blue-chip REITs matched the performance of the Straits Times Index.

While Singapore's primary stock index advanced, three prominent real estate investment trusts – CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (SGX: A17U), Mapletree Logistics Trust (SGX: M44U), and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (SGX: BUOU) – trailed behind their blue-chip counterparts.

At first look, the reason seems clear: each experienced a decline in their distribution per unit (DPU).

However, a deeper analysis reveals a more complex situation.

Their operational fundamentals – such as occupancy rates and rental reversions – are mostly stable or showing improvement.

The drop in DPU was not caused by a deterioration in their property portfolios but rather by capital structure factors that could be temporary.

Here is a detailed examination.

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT: Short-Term Dilution for Long-Term Gain

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) is Singapore's largest listed industrial REIT, holding 222 properties valued at S$18.2 billion across Singapore, the US, Australia, and the UK/Europe.

For the fiscal year ended 31 December 2025 (FY2025), CLAR's revenue increased slightly by 1.0% year-on-year to S$1.5 billion, and net property income (NPI) grew 1.7% to S$1.1 billion.

Distributable income also rose by 1.4% to S$678.3 million.

Despite this, the DPU decreased by 1.3% to S$0.15005.

The discrepancy stems from a S$500 million equity fundraising in June 2025, which increased the number of units, diluting the payout per unit even as the core business expanded.

Positively, CLAR deployed this capital effectively.

The REIT finalized S$1.5 billion in acquisitions across six properties, with initial NPI yields ranging from approximately 6% to over 7%, and sold nine properties for S$506.5 million, achieving a price about 9% above their market valuation.

Rental reversions remained strong at +12.0% for FY2025, with an impressive +19.6% recorded in the fourth quarter.

The portfolio occupancy rate decreased to 90.9%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, partly due to newly redeveloped properties still being leased.

Excluding these properties, the occupancy rate was 91.9%.

The aggregate leverage ratio was a manageable 39.0%, and the cost of debt improved to 3.5%.

Mapletree Logistics Trust: Superficial Figures Mask Underlying Stability

Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT) owns 174 warehouses and distribution centers across nine Asia-Pacific markets, with S$13.0 billion in assets under management.

For the third quarter ended 31 December 2025 (3QFY2026), MLT reported gross revenue of S$176.8 million, down 3.1% year-on-year, and NPI of S$152.0 million, down 3.3%.

DPU fell significantly by 9.3% year-on-year to S$0.01816.

This decline appears severe until analyzed closely.

The DPU from the same period last year included S$7.5 million in one-time gains from property divestments.

Unfavorable currency movements involving the Korean won, Japanese yen, Vietnamese dong, and Hong Kong dollar, along with the loss of income from 12 sold properties, further impacted the results.

Excluding these factors, the operational DPU saw only a modest decrease of 2.1% year-on-year.

Operationally, the portfolio is more stable than the headline numbers suggest.

Portfolio occupancy improved to 96.4%, up from 96.1% the previous quarter, while rental reversion stayed positive at 1.1%.

Notably, the negative rental reversion in China improved substantially to -2.2%, a significant recovery from -10.2% a year earlier.

MLT is actively managing its portfolio, having divested six properties so far this year at an average premium of 20% above valuation.

The manager has identified approximately S$1 billion worth of older assets for future divestment, half of which are located in China and Hong Kong.

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust: Robust Operations Offset by Finance Costs

Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FLCT) holds a portfolio of 113 logistics, industrial, and commercial properties valued at S$6.9 billion across Australia, Germany, Singapore, the UK, and the Netherlands.

The trust provided a business update for the first quarter of FY2026 (the three months to 31 December 2025), so specific revenue, NPI, or DPU figures for the quarter were not released.

However, the full-year context is informative: for the year ended 30 September 2025, DPU declined by 12.5% year-on-year to S$0.05950, primarily due to a 26.4% surge in finance costs, even as revenue increased 5.6% to S$471.5 million and adjusted NPI rose 1.9%.

Operationally, FLCT's first-quarter update was positive.

Portfolio occupancy improved to 96.2% from 95.1% the previous quarter, driven by a jump in occupancy at Alexandra Technopark from 77.9% to 86.3% after the manager secured leases for about 83% of the space vacated by Google.

Occupancy for the logistics and industrial segment remained strong at 99.7%, and rental reversions for this segment were a robust +36.4%.

The gearing ratio improved to 34.8%, providing S$592 million in debt headroom before reaching the 40% regulatory limit.

The cost of borrowings remained stable at 3.1%.

The crucial factor for a DPU recovery will be whether these borrowing costs begin to decrease.

Seeing Beyond the DPU Headlines

A declining DPU does not always indicate a REIT in trouble.

For CLAR, the decrease resulted from equity dilution, a short-term effect of raising capital for future growth.

MLT contended with external challenges, including currency fluctuations and the absence of previous one-time divestment gains.

Meanwhile, FLCT's results reflected the industry-wide pressure of higher finance costs on an otherwise solid portfolio.

In all three cases, key operational indicators – occupancy rates, rental reversions, and strategic portfolio management – present a more positive outlook.

Seasoned investors understand the importance of distinguishing between temporary "noise" from financial engineering and the enduring "signal" of fundamental business health.

The critical question is not if the DPU fell, but why it fell, and whether the cause is a transient obstacle or a permanent change.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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